AI Automation: Will It Create a Permanent Underclass?
Source: newyorker.com
Fears are growing that rapid advancements in artificial intelligence could lead to a surge in job automation and create a “permanent underclass.” Some experts warn that those without access to AI technology may be left behind.
The Looming Threat of AI Automation
The idea of an AI-driven underclass is gaining traction, fueled by concerns about job displacement. As AI takes over tasks, some worry about a future where a large segment of the population becomes unemployable.
Silicon Valley insiders suggest that the ability to leverage AI, or “compute,” will determine who thrives. Those lacking these resources may face limited opportunities.
Predictions of Rapid AI Advancement
Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher, predicts AI could match or exceed human capabilities by 2027. This rapid progress raises concerns about AI becoming self-improving, potentially making human labor obsolete.
The Impact on the Job Market
Nate Soares, an AI pessimist, notes widespread anxiety in Silicon Valley about the speed of AI development. He suggests people should not rely on long-term job security.
Initially, tech jobs may be most affected, followed by digitized labor like writing emails and managing spreadsheets. Eventually, AI could automate physical tasks as well.
Early Signs of Job Market Shifts
AI is already impacting daily life. OpenAI and Meta have launched AI-generated video feeds. Software like Salesforce now includes AI-powered agents, and Waymo cars are self-driving.
Some data indicates a hiring slowdown, especially for new workers. An Oxford Economics report suggests AI automation is a primary factor.
Adapting to the AI Era
Jasmine Sun notes a divide in the tech industry, with some earning high salaries and others struggling. The new ideal employee is a hyper-productive programmer working long hours.
Ironically, escaping the AI underclass may require embracing AI and working harder. The reward could be a role in managing the AI future.
Concerns About Economic Inequality
There is a lack of clear vision for how an AI-dominated society will be structured. Some experts say there's no plan for wealth redistribution or universal basic income.
Seeking Alternatives
Some workers are exploring alternative career paths, such as architecture or the trades. Others see stability in industries catering to the wealthy or consider self-sufficiency.
The Risk of Manipulation
Historically, the underclass has been vulnerable to political manipulation. In the AI era, this could manifest as people fighting to join the AI revolution to avoid being left behind.