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Quantifying Marketing's True Value

Source: hbr.org

Published on October 3, 2025

Updated on October 3, 2025

Graphic representing the True Value of Marketing framework with profit, opportunity, and complexity metrics

Quantifying Marketing's True Value

Marketing is facing a credibility crisis. Despite its foundational role in driving customer engagement and revenue, many stakeholders—from CFOs to CEOs—are questioning its true impact on profitability. This disconnect has led to shrinking budgets, high turnover among CMOs, and a growing skepticism about the value of marketing efforts. The solution, according to industry experts, lies in a new framework called the True Value of Marketing (TVM), which aims to bridge the gap between marketing activities and measurable business outcomes.

TVM addresses the long-standing challenge of quantifying marketing's contributions by focusing on three core components: Profitable Customer Value (PCV), Opportunity Value (OV), and Complexity Cost (CC). By categorizing marketing initiatives as value-adding, value-neutral, or value-contracting, TVM provides a clear roadmap for allocating resources effectively and driving tangible results.

The True Value of Marketing (TVM) Framework

At its core, TVM serves as both a benchmark and a blueprint for marketing teams. It provides an actionable index and operational framework to demonstrate and enhance marketing's impact on the bottom line. Unlike traditional metrics that often prioritize reach or engagement, TVM focuses on profitability, ensuring that every marketing investment is evaluated based on its contribution to revenue growth and customer lifetime value (LTV).

Components of TVM

The TVM framework is built on three key pillars:

  • Profitable Customer Value (PCV): This metric quantifies the profit generated from marketing efforts by assessing the value created through customer acquisition, retention, and expansion. It includes both short-term sales and the long-term LTV of customers, providing a holistic view of marketing's financial impact.
  • Opportunity Value (OV): This measures the growth potential of marketing initiatives by identifying and capitalizing on strategic opportunities. Examples include reducing customer churn, increasing upsells and cross-sells, and discovering new, profitable customer acquisition channels.
  • Complexity Cost (CC): This refers to the obstacles that hinder growth, such as the use of multiple platforms, redundant vendors, lengthy approval processes, and fragmented data. By addressing these inefficiencies, organizations can streamline operations and improve overall performance.

Together, these components provide a comprehensive view of marketing's impact, enabling organizations to make data-driven decisions that align with their financial goals.

Applying the TVM Formula

The TVM formula is designed to evaluate marketing initiatives based on their impact on profitability. As value increases, the TVM score improves; as complexity rises, the score decreases. This framework helps organizations identify which initiatives should be funded, improved, or discontinued. For example, value-adding initiatives are prioritized for investment, while value-neutral initiatives may require refinement, and value-contracting initiatives are typically discontinued.

To implement TVM effectively, organizations must establish a strong foundation. This involves using contribution margin as a standard metric, defining the LTV horizon, and establishing confidence bands for OV. Once these baselines are set, marketing teams can identify key drivers for each component of TVM:

  • PCV: Demonstrate actual gains through causal attribution, such as geo-holdouts or A/B testing.
  • OV: Use predictive models to estimate future effects of marketing initiatives.
  • CC: Leverage AI to assess the cost of complexity and identify areas for improvement, such as retiring outdated tools or consolidating vendors.

A monthly review process, involving both the CMO and CFO, is essential to evaluate the TVM score and discuss variances in PCV, OV, and CC. This collaborative approach ensures that marketing investments are aligned with financial goals and that resources are allocated effectively.

Real-World Application of TVM

The TVM framework has already proven its effectiveness in real-world scenarios. For instance, a financial services firm faced rising customer acquisition costs, stagnant revenue, and a disjointed marketing strategy. By implementing TVM, the company was able to establish a contribution margin baseline, agree on an LTV horizon, and demonstrate incremental gains through targeted initiatives. Weekly CMO-CFO reviews classified marketing programs as Scale, Tighten, or Stop based on their TVM scores, leading to improved profitability and operational efficiency.

After six months of implementing TVM, the firm saw significant improvements in PCV, OV, and CC. The net TVM Lift increased, fostering greater alignment between the marketing and finance teams. This success story highlights how TVM can transform marketing from a cost center into a driver of profitable growth.

The Future of Marketing Metrics

As the marketing landscape continues to evolve, the need for a unified metric like TVM becomes increasingly clear. Similar to how the Net Promoter Score (NPS) revolutionized customer experience, TVM has the potential to transform how marketing's impact is measured and managed. By providing a single source of truth, TVM enables organizations to streamline processes, accelerate insights, personalize interactions, and precisely measure marketing's impact on profitability.

"TVM is more than just a metric—it's a strategic framework that aligns marketing with the broader goals of the organization," said an industry expert. "By focusing on profitability and reducing complexity, TVM empowers CMOs to drive meaningful growth and demonstrate marketing's true value to the boardroom."

In an era where AI and data analytics are reshaping the marketing landscape, TVM offers a clear path forward. By adopting this framework, organizations can overcome the challenges of channel fragmentation, outdated technology, and misaligned priorities, ultimately achieving better outcomes and driving sustainable growth.